Will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline be blocked or sanctioned by 2023?
Mini
5
Ṁ702
Jan 1
36%
chance
"US Senate Democrats on Thursday voted down a bill that would have put sanctions on businesses involved in the Nord Stream 2 pipeline between Russia and Germany... US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has said that Germany will almost certainly block the pipeline if Russia invades Ukraine. Germany's new government has not given any definitive assurance of this publicly... The Nord Stream 2 pipeline is currently awaiting final approval from German and European officials before it goes into operation. The Nord Stream 2 pipeline would double the volume of gas pumped into Germany by Russian firm Gazprom. Both Republican and Democratic lawmakers have voiced their concern that this increases Putin's leverage over Europe. Ukraine and Poland also oppose Nord Stream 2. The pipeline would allow Russia to bypass transit fees through those countries." https://www.dw.com/en/nord-stream-2-us-senate-democrats-defeat-sanctions-bill/a-60420538 ----------- This question resolves positively if either: a) the United States government imposes sanctions on the Nord Stream 2 Pipeline before 2023; b) Germany blocks the pipeline; or c) European officials blocks the pipeline. This question will resolve on either 1/1/23 or when the resolution criteria is met, whichever is first. #RussiaUkraine
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Maybe close to 50-50 so I sold here.
Russia might not invade Ukraine, this is cheap