Will there be five or more American Military Casualties in Iraq or Syria due to an attack by Iranian backed groups in 2022
1
Ṁ10Oct 13
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will there be five or more American Military Casualties in Iraq or Syria due to an attack by Iranian backed groups in 2022. Market resolves based on official reports, reputable reporting, and OSINT
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be over 200 Ukrainian Military deaths by the end of March 2022
42% chance
Will there be a major flare-up (worse than past 5 years) in Russia/Ukraine conflict in 2022?
37% chance
Will more than 15,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year?
27% chance
"Will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine in 2023?"
37% chance
"Will a major US political figure be killed or wounded in an assassination attempt in 2023?"
67% chance
"Will a nuclear weapon be used in war (ie not a test or accident) and kill at least 10 people in 2023?"
33% chance
Will there be at least $250 million in damage from a single round of mass protests in US in 2022?
12% chance
"Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022?"
45% chance
[Metaculus] Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?
50% chance
"Will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran in 2023?"
59% chance